Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.359066 0.466562 0.583520 0.718451 0.868223 1.027975 1.209929
2025-09-14 0.198409 0.334951 0.501310 0.709829 0.956762 1.233840 1.562824
2025-09-21 0.115952 0.254680 0.441774 0.691611 1.000805 1.358903 1.794546
2025-09-28 0.080285 0.224647 0.436393 0.732419 1.109713 1.555496 2.105856
2025-10-05 0.058617 0.207512 0.442638 0.783475 1.227492 1.759665 2.423458
2025-10-12 0.040172 0.188298 0.441466 0.821581 1.326858 1.940241 2.712235
2025-10-19 0.030707 0.182669 0.458530 0.882995 1.454891 2.154962 3.041160
2025-10-26 0.021217 0.171921 0.465250 0.928563 1.561550 2.342968 3.337853
2025-11-02 0.010514 0.148924 0.448179 0.937969 1.619380 2.469661 3.560079
2025-11-09 0.001302 0.108487 0.393187 0.887243 1.594130 2.490490 3.652255
2025-11-16 NaN 0.072833 0.336839 0.828258 1.553431 2.488736 3.714314
2025-11-23 NaN 0.053862 0.308253 0.808862 1.564510 2.550884 3.853196
2025-11-30 NaN 0.043003 0.296346 0.817626 1.618009 2.672011 4.071235
2025-12-07 NaN 0.030601 0.275569 0.809905 1.647725 2.762725 4.252517
2025-12-14 NaN 0.019009 0.249594 0.789968 1.657730 2.826117 4.398244
2025-12-21 NaN 0.017988 0.259260 0.833806 1.761129 3.012742 4.699292
2025-12-28 NaN 0.018445 0.274727 0.888379 1.880521 3.220716 5.027510
2026-01-04 NaN 0.017158 0.282708 0.929069 1.979399 3.401606 5.321702
2026-01-11 NaN 0.018957 0.303924 0.994517 2.115219 3.631751 5.678423
2026-01-18 NaN 0.018655 0.316020 1.042995 2.225897 3.828626 5.993249
2026-01-25 NaN 0.014146 0.307812 1.052993 2.279051 3.948915 6.211143
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005518 0.267604 0.999039 2.234616 3.937851 6.261557
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000736 0.225703 0.936190 2.173552 3.902343 6.279147